000			04048cam a22003855i 4500
001			21322599
003			KPN
005			20211214110358.0
008			191206s2020 nyu 000 0 eng
010			_a 2019956459
020			_a9780316484916 _q(hardcover)
020			_z9780316484893 _q(ebook)
040			_aDLC _beng _erda _cDLC
042			_apcc
100	1		_aOrd, Toby, _eauthor.
245	1	4	_aThe precipice : _bexistential risk and the future of humanity / _cToby Ord.
250			_aFirst edition.
263			_a2003
264		1	_aNew York : _bHachette Books, _c2020.
300			_a x, 468 pages : _b illustrations, maps ; _c24 cm
336			_atext _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_aunmediated _bn _2rdamedia
338			_avolume _bnc _2rdacarrier
490			_aPractical wisdom in leadership and organization series.
500			_aINCLUDES INDEX
505			_a Part one: the stakes. Introduction -- Standing at the precipice. How we got here -- Where we might go -- The precipice -- Existential risk. Understanding existential risk -- Looking to the present -- Looking to our future -- Looking to our past -- Civilization virtues -- Cosmic significance -- Uncertainty -- Our neglect of existential risks -- Part two: the risks. Natural risks. Asteroids & comets -- Supervolcanic eruptions -- Stellar explosions -- Other natural risks -- The total natural risk -- Anthropogenic risks. Nuclear weapons -- Climate change -- Environmental damage -- Future risks. Pandemics -- Unaligned artificial intelligence -- Dystopian scenarios -- Other risks -- Part three: the path forward. The risk landscape. Quantifying the risks -- Combining and comparing risks -- Risk factors -- Which risks? -- Safeguarding humanity. Grand strategy for humanity -- Risks without precedent -- International coordination -- Technological progress -- Research on existential risk -- What you can do -- Our potential. Duration -- Scale -- Quality -- Choices.
520			_a"From nuclear war and climate change to AI and synthetic biology, the risk of human extinction during this century is frighteningly high. Reducing these risks should be the top global priority-but it isn't. Bringing together key scientific evidence and insight from the humanities, Toby Ord, University of Oxford professor and advisor to the World Bank, U.S. National Security Council, and other global organizations, provides novel tools and concrete strategies for making the largest possible difference in saving our species. The moral argument is simple: society has begun to value diversity across a wide array of genders, races, religions, and sexual orientations, and the Western world is beginning to see the injustice of devaluing those who live in distant countries as well. The next step is to recognize the equality of people distant from us in time-the millions of future generations that should follow our own. The value of many trillions of lives, billions of years of civilization, and untold heights of flourishing and achievement dramatically increases the stakes of existential risks. To destroy such a future would break the partnership across the generations that has raised the human project up to its current heights; it would betray the collective virtues of our civilization; and it might even eliminate the only part of the universe that will ever be capable of appreciating its wonders. Despite the daunting stakes we face, The Precipice resists doom and gloom: Ord's style and message are optimistic, and the book is animated by an inspiring vision of our vast potential"-- _cProvided by publisher.
546			_aIN ENGLISH
650		0	_9745 _aSocial prediction.
650		0	_9746 _aSocial ecology.
650		0	_9747 _aHuman ecology.
906			_a0 _bibc _corignew _d2 _eepcn _f20 _gy-gencatlg
942			_2ddc _c1 _n0
999			_c502 _d502